In the past few weeks Trump has been the center of some high profile endorsements. Sarah Palin, Jerry Falwell Jr., and Joe Arpaio are just a few of his notable recent endorsers.His main competitor Ted Cruz has been overlooked by the media, but he did manage to score endorsements from Glenn Beck and Rick Perry.
The statistics blog FiveThirtyEight predicts a 48 percent chance that Trump wins the Iowa caucus, and a 39 percent chance that Cruz is the victor. With the caucus beginning in just a few hours, this last minute endorsement Cruz just received could tip the scales.As IJ Review reports:
The largest Tea Party group in American, the Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund, has finally announced which candidate they are endorsing for president.
The group announced today that they are throwing their support behind Republican senator Ted Cruz.Chairman Jenny Beth Martin praised Cruz in a press release today:
“We seek a candidate who shares our values: personal freedom, economic freedom, and a debt-free future. On behalf of Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund and our supporters, I am proud to announce our endorsement for president of the United States: Senator Ted Cruz!”
Candidates had to go through a number of steps in order to be considered by the TPPCF. They had to fill out a questionnaire, sit down for an interview, submit themselves to opposition research, and then the TPPCF lets the voters decide in an “endorsement primary.”How much does the Iowa caucus actually matter? Despite how much attention is paid to it, in primaries with four or more candidates the caucus winner has only gone on to become the eventual nominee 38 percent of the time.
No matter who wins the caucus tonight, don’t count out the runner up.
[Note: This post was authored by The Analytical Economist]