In the beginning of the presidential race, many saw Jeb as the inevitable nominee, continuing the Bush dynasty, while Hillary would make an attempt at furthering the Clinton dynasty.Who thought Jeb would turn out to be proof money can’t buy elections? Spending nearly $150 million wasn’t enough to make Jeb a viable contender in this year’s GOP primary.
As the field narrows, those who’d otherwise give their vote to a candidate who dropped out are now forced to grant it to one of the remaining. Due to the constant bickering between Jeb Bush and Donald Trump, you might think Trump would be the last choice for former Jeb supporters. But Trump seems to be the one who’s benefited most from Jeb dropping out.As Rasmussen says,With Jeb Bush out, Donald Trump has widened his lead in the race for the Republican presidential nomination.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Voters finds Trump with 36 percent support, giving him a 15-point lead over Senator Marco Rubio who earns 21 percent of the vote. Senator Ted Cruz is in third place with 17 percent.
For Trump, that’s a five-point gain in support from the beginning of this month just after the Iowa caucus and right before the New Hampshire primary when it was Trump 31 percent, Rubio 21 percent and Cruz 20 percent among likely GOP voters. Rubio’s support has held steady, while support for Cruz has fallen slightly.At this point, the race is pretty much over. The betting odds give Hillary an 86.6 percent chance of winning the Democrat primary, and Trump a 70.2 percent chance of winning the Republican primary. For many Americans, Election Day this November will be the worst game of “would you rather” they’ve ever played.
[Note: This post was authored by The Analytical Economist]