Half the members leaving the House next year are running for governor – and you won’t like why

Too often those of us on the constitutional conservative side of the American political philosophy spectrum don’t see the long ball strategic game of the progressive socialist left. There was no doubt that Barack Obama unleashed the full power of the Internal Revenue Service against the conservative grassroots movement called the Tea Party after the 2010 mid-term election. There was no way Obama and the leftists would allow a conservative grassroots movement to impede his reelection. When we look at the long slow march of the left in America, it has been done with a vision of incrementalism, similar to the tales of boiling a frog. They slowly turn up the temperature.

The Obama administration HUD policy to reengineer suburban communities misusing the Fair Housing Act, which we shared here, is another longterm strategy to dilute the concentration of “red” congressional districts lying outside of urban areas. As well, we shared after the Georgia congressional special election, the liberal progressive left is going after red states by expanding the urban population centers to overmatch outlying rural areas, where the population is far less. This can be easily seen here in Texas down the I-35 corridor combined with the three other major population centers of Houston, Corpus Christi, and El Paso.

However, does the left have another arrow in their quiver to remake local politics which will in turn tip the scales for them nationally?

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As reported by Politico, “Fully half of the 18 members leaving the House next year jumped in order to run for governor in their states, looking to trade in legislative gridlock for executive orders — and the chance to play a dominating role in redrawing their colleagues’ districts in four years.

One House member, Rep. Ed Perlmutter (D-Colo.), has since dropped out of the governor’s race in his state. Even so, already, more representatives are seeking governorships than the seven who ran in 2010, the last time there were as many open gubernatorial races as there will be next year. A handful of others are mulling runs of their own. But most of the aspiring governors are vacating the comfy confines of safe congressional districts for what, historically, has been a bad bet. The last time this many sitting representatives ran for governor, in 2006, twice as many lost as won. Lawmakers are motivated partly by the quest for more power — being one in a village of 435, especially in the Democratic minority, gets you only so far. They are also seeking the chance to assist or resist the Trump administration, depending on their party, in implementing new policy throughout the states.”

But there is a very obvious reason why this may be happening…“It’s a good partnership to have folks who have federal experience, have relationships here but can be the governor of their states so they don’t execute some of these federal changes in a way that harms their citizens,” said Rep. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D-N.M.), who announced in December that she would run for governor in 2018. “And you would be in charge of redistricting.” 

On the GOP side, members watched Republican governors make political gains and pass major policy initiatives throughout the Obama administration, and they want in on the action. “Republican governors are taking action, making the tough decisions, and are able to point to key results for the people of their states,” said Republican Governors Association spokesman Jon Thompson. “That’s tougher to do in Washington as a member of Congress.” 

Rep. Diane Black, a four-term Republican from a safe GOP seat in Tennessee, last week became the latest lawmaker to launch a gubernatorial campaign. The current House Budget chairwoman joins eight other lawmakers, as well as a handful of others who are considering runs. Three other House Democrats are in governor’s races in their states: Lujan Grisham, Minnesota Rep. Tim Walz and Colorado’s Jared Polis. (Perlmutter, also of Colorado, has since dropped out of the race but won’t seek reelection in the House.) Two former Democratic members, Gwen Graham of Florida and Betty Sutton of Ohio, are also running.”

The critical linchpin is redistricting, the process by which electoral districts are drawn, and it is controlled at the state level. This has all the value especially for the Democrats if they want to garner more Congressional seats in the House of Representatives. Congressional seats are classified as R or D and then the percentage advantage they possess, such as a D+6 district means Democrats have a 6 percent advantage over Republicans. The Democrats want to turn back the tide on the electoral success the GOP has seen recently in gubernatorial elections. As well, they want to make inroads, or at least sustain, their hold on swing states — hence why you see Colorado, Florida, and Ohio as focuses, all major electoral states. This is critical as they head into the 2020 presidential election cycle, namely Florida and Ohio. This is the long ball strategy of the progressive socialist left.

“On the Republican side, Black and Reps. Kristi Noem of South Dakota, Steve Pearce of New Mexico, Jim Renacci of Ohio and Raúl Labrador of Idaho are all running. Rep. Bruce Poliquin could run in Maine, especially if Sen. Susan Collins decides against a gubernatorial bid. “It’s one of the most difficult decisions I’ve made in elected office,” Pearce told the Albuquerque Journal this summer. “We could have pretty well cruised in the 2nd District, but at the end of the day, if New Mexico fails while we are getting some successes in D.C. then that’s a problem.”

The state of New Mexico is another victim of the California “locust effect” and perhaps a win by Rep. Steve Pearce could reverse that tide. However, New Mexico is not as vital in terms of a presidential election, as a Florida or Ohio.

Per CBS News, “Rob Richie, Executive Director for FairVote, a non-partisan advocacy group focusing on electoral reform, told CBS News that the rise in House members on the Democratic side making a leap for the governor’s mansion may also be due to financial factors and overall political impact.  
The biggest factors, he said, are “the allure for Democrats of establishing themselves as national leaders in an era of a thin gubernatorial bench, the increased money for campaigns associated with the awareness of how important governors are to federal and state partisan control — as affected by redistricting in 2021 — and the breakdown of the House as a well-functioning governing body.” The ability to impact those redistricting efforts has moved to the forefront for those in the Democratic party in making new gains across the country.

A new Democratic group led by former Attorney General Eric Holder is now focusing on redistricting challenges to counter political advances Republicans have made since the 2010 census and the redrawing of electoral districts that followed. Richie adds that if more ex-House members are elected governor, it could encourage a national conversation about fair House elections.  “Governors on their own can advance that idea, too, by calling for congressional election or proposing interstate compacts with other states so that a group of states can be fair together in giving their voters a level playing field in House races.”

Here is my concern. President Trump is the de facto head of the Republican Party. Barack Obama failed in the position as head of the Democrat Party…we do not need the same thing to happen. Who is in charge of the Republican Party strategy? Heck, all I know is that Governor Mitt Romney’s niece is chairman of the Republican National Committee, what is her five year strategy? What is she doing to prepare for the “Empire Strikes Back” endeavor leading up to the 2020 presidential election, and then onto redistricting? How is she analyzing the population shift of leftists from failing blue states into economically successful red states, and in key electoral states such as Texas? We’ve seen a very strong Republican Governors Association, but do they have the resources and backing to counter an Eric Holder group? Who are the major funders on the GOP side to combat Jeff Bezos, George Soros, Tim Gill, Warren Buffett, Mark Zuckerberg, and Tom Steyers?

The GOP needs a strategic visionary who, like Union Cavalry General JNL Buford at Gettysburg, can gaze on a battlefield and not see it as it is, but how it must be fought, and won. The progressive socialist left is steaming mad, and they intend to regain power. They must be defeated at every turn.

[Learn more about Allen West’s vision for this nation in his book Guardian of the Republic: An American Ronin’s Journey to Faith, Family and Freedom]

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