Following the media’s full-on assault of Donald Trump — the leaked 2005 tape and handful of sexual assault accusations coming out of the woodwork — at least one poll is showing him rising like a phoenix from the ashes.Via Rasmussen Reports:
The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey shows Trump with 43% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 41%. Yesterday, Clinton still held a four-point 43% to 39% lead over Trump, but that was down from five points on Tuesday and her biggest lead ever of seven points on Monday.Eighty-four percent (84%) now say they are certain how they will vote in this year’s presidential election, and among these voters, Trump posts a 49% to 46% lead over Clinton. Among voters who say they still could change their minds between now and Election Day, it’s Clinton 40%, Trump 37%, Johnson 19% and Stein four percent (4%).
The survey of 1,500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 10-12, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
When all the major polls are averaged together, Trump is still lagging behind Hillary, but has only lost 1.2 points since his leaked comments. Meanwhile, Hillary’s numbers have essentially remained unchanged. Some may have been turned off to Trump by his comments — but it hasn’t made them any more likely to vote for Hillary.
In Trump’s favor is the continuing Wikileaks dump, which continues to expose inconvenient truths about Hillary. The media refuses to report on them, but thanks to social media, the word is nonetheless getting out.
And with an election cycle that’s been this outside the norm thus far, it’s anyone’s guess on how accurate the polls will turn out to be this time around.
[Note: This post was written by The Analytical Economist]