As we’ve just learned, immigration officials are doing everything they can — including working overtime — to ensure as many immigrants as possible are granted citizenship in time for the election. Why, they’ve even “mistakenly” granted citizenship to 858 people with security concerns. Now THAT’S teamwork.And if there’s one demographic Democrats are banking on this election season, it’s the Hispanic vote. Donald Trump pretty much did all their work for them in referring to Mexicans as criminals and rapists, right?
Well, that’s the narrative the media would like to portray, completely ignoring the context of what Trump said, and that he was speaking about consequences of illegal immigration.
But as the Washington Examiner just reported, based on current poll numbers, Hillary will receive a smaller share of the Hispanic vote than Barack Obama did in 2012 (where he received 71 percent to Romney’s 27 percent).
Hillary Clinton’s approval among Hispanics has slipped over the last two months, although the Democratic presidential nominee still maintains a sizable lead over rival Donald Trump in that demographic.Clinton is supported by 63 percent of registered Hispanic voters, a 47-point lead over Trump’s 16 percent, according to a Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Telemundo poll released Thursday.
But that’s a 9-point drop from July, when 72 percent of registered Hispanic voters supported Clinton.
And while Trump is thought to be turning off Hispanic voters with his immigration stance, his position improved over the last two months. Trump’s 16 percent support is higher than the 12 percent he had in July.Almost 8 in 10 of the Hispanics surveyed said they have strong negative impressions of Republican presidential candidate. By comparison, only 35 percent had “very negative” feelings about Mitt Romney in 2012.
Views of Clinton today are not as positive as they were for Barack Obama at this point of 2012 presidential campaign. Fifty-seven percent of Hispanics in the survey said they had good views of her, compared to 74 percent who approved of the current president.While Hispanics do view Trump negatively by a large margin, Trump doesn’t have to be likable to garner a significant share of their vote. He simply has to be more likable than Hillary Clinton – a feat few can’t accomplish.
[Note: This post was written by The Analytical Economist]