Yes, it’s just one poll — but the dramatic change in the latest Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll shows how quickly things are changing in these waning days of the ever-volatile 2016 election cycle.
While Hillary Clinton maintains a slight lead of four points (with a three-point margin of error), her lead has shrunk by eight points in just four days. Perhaps as encouraging for Trump as the overall trend is the fact that the GOP nominee saw his biggest gains among independents — which many see as the key to winning this highly polarized election. He now leads Hillary by 12 points, 49 to 37 percent, among independents.
As The Washington Post reports, Donald Trump has gained on Hillary Clinton during the past week, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll, solidifying support among core Republican groups as well as political independents.[Read full poll results here]
Clinton holds a slight 48-44 percent edge over Trump among likely voters, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4 percent and Green Party nominee Jill Stein at 1 percent in the survey completed Sunday through Wednesday. Clinton held a six-point edge in the previous wave and a 12-point edge in the first wave of the tracking poll by ABC News Sunday (50 percent Clinton vs. 38 percent Trump). In a two-candidate contest, Clinton holds a five-point edge over Trump, 50 to 45 percent.
Trump’s growth in support from 38 percent to 44 percent is fueled by shored-up support among Republican-leaning voting groups as well as a significant boost among political independents. Trump has made up ground among whites, particularly those without college degrees and women. Trump now leads by a 30 percentage point margin among white voters without college degrees, up from 20 points from this weekend. White women now tilt toward Trump by 48 to 43 percent after leaning 49 to 43 percent in Clinton’s favor before.Trump saw his biggest gains among political independents, favoring Trump by a 12-point margin in the latest tracking poll, 49 to 37 percent, after giving Clinton a narrow edge in late last week. Neither candidate has maintained a consistent lead among independent likely voters in Post-ABC polling this fall.
Meanwhile, Trump is ahead of Hillary again in another tracking poll. After losing his edge for several days in the L.A. Times tracking poll, Trump is now at 45.8 percent nationally in the poll, while Hillary Clinton is 44.5 percent, per the Times’ website, according to Breitbart. As Breitbart notes, however, the sponsor of the poll — the Center for Economic and Social Research — seems to have interpreted the data differently and shows Trump with a slightly larger lead: 45.8 percent to Clinton’s 44.1.The Republican presidential nominee’s numbers took a tumble after his first debate performance and leaked audio of lewd comments he made about women was released.
As the public focus shifts from Trump’s comments about women to the disaster that is Obamacare and ever-mounting evidence of Hillary’s rampant corruption, thanks in large part to Wikileaks, it appears the momentum may be in Trump’s favor.
And that was even BEFORE today’s news that the FBI is reopening its investigation into Hillary’s email scandal. 11 days to go and on top of already-sliding poll numbers, Hillary Clinton’s practices as secretary of state are once again under investigation by the FBI.
[Note: This article was written by Michelle Jesse, Associate Editor]