In the past week, what was deemed a comfortable — even insurmountable — lead for Democrat presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has been steadily dwindling. And that was before the stunning news, announced Friday, that the FBI has reopened its investigation into the former secretary of state Hillary Clinton’s email server.
We’re just now beginning to see the potential impact of that mother of all October surprises. And if these moves are any indication of a larger trend, Team Hillary has good reason to be melting down about now.
As USA Today reports:
Donald Trump now leads Hillary Clinton for the first time since May, according to the ABC News/Washington Post daily tracking poll.
While Trump’s edge is just 1 point — which is well within the margin of error — the Republican candidate has made up 13 points in under two weeks.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 1, 2016
But not everyone wants to capitalize on the poll. Former House speaker Newt Gingrich called the new poll an “absurdity.”
Washington Post-ABC poll is an absurdity. Trump has not moved up 13 points in the last 8 days.he was NEVER 12 points behind. Ignore polls— Newt Gingrich (@newtgingrich) November 1, 2016
At this point in 2012, Mitt Romney led President Obama by 1 point.
The daily tracking poll was conducted Oct. 27-30, 2016, and included 1,128 likely voters. The margin of error is 3 points.
Of course, one day’s snapshot does not tell us much by itself; the arc of momentum tells a fuller story — if one is to believe any poll this election cycle in particular.
Speaking of which, take a look at the trajectory in the latest USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times “Daybreak” poll:
As we’ve been reporting, Trump’s recent momentum has been boosted, in part, by the ever-crticial support of independent voters. We’ve also seen Republicans who’ve kept their distance from Trump now coming around to him — while there are also signs that supporters of Libertarian Gary Johnson are breaking for Trump.
All positive signs for Trump going into the home stretch of this election cycle.
[This article was written by Michelle Jesse, Associate Editor]