In the wake of Iowa, the latest New Hampshire tracking poll reveals a fluid GOP primary race. While Donald Trump remains in a significant lead — with 36% of likely voters supporting him — the lead has slipped by two points since Monday, from 38%. Meanwhile, Trump’s main rivals Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio have each gained — Cruz going from 12 to 14% and Rubio jumping from 8 to 15%.
Also significant from the latest poll is that, just five days out from the primary, 41 percent of New Hampshire voters say they could still change their mind.
The latest tracking poll of New Hampshire finds Donald Trump dropping slightly, losing 2 points through Wednesday. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) has moved into second place, gaining three points as Trump and Cruz extend their battle from Iowa.
The poll, from University of Massachusetts Lowell, finds the race still very fluid in New Hampshire, with 41 percent of voters saying they could still change their mind. New Hampshire votes in just 5 days, on Tuesday.The race seems to be consolidating into a three-person race between Trump, Cruz and Rubio. Jeb Bush, Chris Christie and John Kasich are each polling in the high-single digits, but have each lost a point or two in the last several days. Since Monday, Trump has lost 2 points, Cruz has gained 2 and Rubio has jumped 7 points.
Another factor that doesn’t show up in the polls but could significantly impact the results is, of course, the candidate’s ground games. Frontrunner Donald Trump has acknowledged this was an area that hurt him in Iowa — and perhaps was one factor that led him to underperform vs. the polls.
The candidates will have one more formal chance to make their pitch to voters this Saturday evening, in the last GOP debate prior to Tuesday’s New Hampshire primaries.
[Note: This article was written by Michelle Jesse, Associate Editor]