Despite consistently poor primary showings, Sen. Marco Rubio and Gov. John Kasich both continue to insist they’ll stay in the race through their home state primaries, at the very least. Both maintain that they will have strong showings in their home states that could be the turning point for their campaigns.
Today, two polls suggest, in pretty stark terms, that this may be wishful thinking from both candidates.
Two pollsters looked at two crucial states and delivered only good news for Republican frontrunner Donald Trump. The GOP Establishment’s stated goal is to stop Trump from winning the number of delegates necessary to outright claim the Republican presidential nomination. The idea is to then go to a brokered convention where Party delegates get to choose whomever they like. In order to do that, Trump must first lose the winner-take-all-states of Ohio and Florida. With just six days to go, these polls show Trump leading in both.
FloridaAccording to Quinnipiac, despite 10 days of facing down the GOP Establishment/DC Media Death Star, Trump has actually expanded his lead in Florida. Currently, the billionaire businessman leads favorite son Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) 45% to 22%, a full +23 points. Last month, in this same poll, Trump was up by just +16 points over Rubio, 44% to 28%.
Only 6% of voters remain undecided.
Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) earns 18% support. John Kasich sits at just 8%.
In the new CNN poll, Trump is up +16 with 40% to Rubio’s 24%. Cruz sits at 19%, Kasich 5%.
The race for Ohio is much tighter.
According to Quinnipiac, Trump leads current Ohio Governor Kasich by +6 points, 38% to 32%. A month ago, Trump led by +5 points, 31% to 26%. Both men are gaining support. The good news for Trump is that his lead has remained stable.
Cruz earns just 16% support. Rubio’s collapse continues with just 9%.
In the new CNN poll, Trump is again up +6 with 41% to Kasich’s 35%. Cruz is in third at 15% and Rubio fourth with just 7%.
Kasich’s third place showing in Michigan Tuesday night might deflate some of his Ohio support. He has virtually no chance of winning the nomination. If his comeback was going to begin, it had to begin in Michigan, a state close to and very similar to Ohio.
Of course, some other polls have Rubio ahead in Florida and many will point out that a week and one more debate could still swing things dramatically. But you have to ask, even IF that were the case, do Rubio and Kasich really have any business sticking it out in this race?
[Note: This article was written by Michelle Jesse, Associate Editor]