It sure looks like Donald Trump is the recipient of one heckuva post-convention “bounce.”
According to the USC/Dornsife/LA Times “Daybreak” poll, Donald Trump now leads Hillary Clinton a whopping 47 percent to 40.4 percent. In politics, the magic number is 50 percent. If you can top that, game over.
Now, it must be said that we’re a long way out, and polls can change, but this is a striking trend. Will Clinton get a “bounce?” It’s not showing up yet, that’s for sure. But if her numbers don’t change in the next few days, it’s got to be VERY worrisome at Crooked HQ.
For reference, USC Dornsife says “this poll represents a pioneering approach to tracking changes in Americans’ opinions throughout a campaign for the White House. Around 3000 respondents in our representative panel are asked questions on a regular basis on what they care about most in the election, and on their attitudes toward their preferred candidates. The “Daybreak poll” is updated just after midnight every day of the week.
This chart tracks our best estimate, over time, of how America plans to vote in November
The final blue and red figures on the right side of the chart represent our most recent estimates of Hillary Clinton’s vote (blue squares) and Donald Trump’s (red diamonds). These estimates represent weighted averages of all responses in the prior week. The gray band is a “95-percent confidence interval”. Figures lying outside the gray band mean that we are at least 95% confident that the candidate with the highest percentage will win the popular vote.”
[Note: This article was written by Michele Hickford]