John Kasich has already been mathematically eliminated from the race after the second Super Tuesday, and Cruz is inching towards the same fate.
Based on the current delegate counts, Trump needs to win 53 percent of the remaining delegates to secure the nomination, while Cruz needs 82 percent.
So when will Cruz be shut out? As the Gateway Pundit reports, likely this month.
By the end of April it will be clear that Ted Cruz has no chance of reaching the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination.Actually in only 3 weeks, on April 26th, it will be clear that Ted Cruz cannot win. Currently Cruz has only 463 delegates. Even if Cruz wins Wisconsin, which is a state whose delegates are winner take most (WTM), he still will not have enough delegates to win the election by April 26th.
This is in part because New York is leaning heavily towards Trump who leads according to polls listed at Real Clear Politics by as much as 36 percent. New York has a Republican primary where the delegates are split proportionally. So even if Cruz wins a third of the delegates, it won’t be enough.
Based on current numbers, come April 26th, Cruz will need 687 delegates to win the election but only 634 will be available.
So he won’t be able to secure 1,237 delegates, but that doesn’t mean the game is over.
If Cruz remains in the race into May, we’ll have further confirmation that a contested convention is in order.
[Note: This post was authored by Matt Palumbo. Follow him on Twitter @MattPalumbo12]