Allen B. West

GOP insiders say who’s next to quit the race, but you WON’T believe who’s the third

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Now that Scott Walker is out and Trump continues to hold his lead in the race, bets are on as to who will be next to exit the race.

According to Politico, the next two poised to bite the dust are Bobby Jindal and George Pataki. But the real surprise (or is it?) is who might be right behind them. Yes, Rand Paul.

As Politico reports, “Bobby Jindal and George Pataki are the next two quitters in the Republican field. That’s the assessment of Republicans in the POLITICO Caucus, (their) weekly bipartisan survey of the top activists, operatives and strategists in Iowa and New Hampshire.

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A quarter of Iowa Republicans say it’s Jindal, a frequent visitor to their state, who is on his way out.

“He’s become desperate,” an Iowa Republican said. “He’s taken to attacking Trump (we know how that worked out for Perry and Walker) and has nothing going on here in Iowa.”

When it comes to attacking Trump no one has been able to really pull this off with tact like Carly Fiorina. Everyone who’s attacked Trump has simply been made to look like an also-ran. Trump has garnered tremendous support and is still gaining. Trump may have 99 problems but money ain’t one. Money, however, is a major problem for all other candidates in the race.

In New Hampshire, Pataki is considered most likely to drop out next, with 27 percent of Republican insiders there pointing to him.

“There comes a point when his irrelevance becomes crystal clear even to him,” a New Hampshire Republican said.

“The Spice Girls were big in the 1990s, too, but no one wants to see them on a reunion tour,” snarked another New Hampshire Republican.

Agreed a third, “The only question is why he wasn’t out before Perry and Walker.”

In both states, Rand Paul came in second. Several insiders said that at some point, Paul will need to focus on winning reelection to his Senate seat.

“Rand Paul’s campaign [reeks] of the same stench of death that surrounded the Perry and Walker efforts before their demise,” said a New Hampshire Republican, who was one of 22 percent of those voters to name the Kentucky senator. “Paul’s polling is anemic, his fundraising is lagging, his campaign is disorganized and he is in danger of getting bumped off the main debate stage. He also has to consider when it’s time to cut bait and focus on running for reelection to the Senate. His time is running short.”

Rand Paul had a great start but that can be said of many of the candidates. When Paul came out with his first campaign video, it was a hit. You remember the one where he talked about no employment tax? We all were cheering. But now with money drying up, candidates need to make some tough decisions.

For the voting public there is now an air of “OK we need just ONE candidate.” Yep, the air is thick with it. The fact that Trump is still leading the pack is a sore spot for many in the GOP establishment. The question that I have is, “why have the money people not made a move to support just one?” We all know Trump has money of his own to support his campaign, but will his ego allow him to spend it all in a bid for the oval office?

Rand Paul has always been one of my (Earl Hall’s) personal favorites but just like all the rest, he has had to contend with standing up to Trump. Some even say the back and forth Paul had with Trump in the first debate made Paul look childish and mean.

“Paul’s making no traction in the polls, and he’s the only one who also faces re-election next year in a race that could unnecessarily complicate our Party’s chances of holding the Senate majority,” agreed a New Hampshire Republican. “His dad came in second to Romney in the New Hampshire primary in 2012, but so far, Rand has shown no ability to win over those same supporters, or harness that same energy or get those same liberty-minded wing of the party behind his candidacy.”

Democrats split on the questions between Jindal and Paul – 40 percent of Iowa Democratic insiders picked the Kentucky senator and 34 percent of New Hampshire Democrats named Jindal.

Said an Iowa Democrat who agreed with Republicans in the state that Jindal is on the way out, “Of the candidates who began this race with a realistic shot at being the next President, he is the one with the least traction and room for growth. Just like Walker, he has no path to break out of the polling oblivion and his fundraising will dry up soon just like Walker’s did.”

Even when Walker left the race money was the main issue. It will be the same for the rest of the candidates that drop out. The thing to watch now is where the money starts flowing. Have you ever asked yourself, do “the powers that be” (i.e. the establishment) actually want Trump to win the nomination? I mean if they didn’t want Trump, wouldn’t money be flowing into certain camps already — well, I guess it has…to Jeb Bush.

One thing’s for sure — the GOP candidates don’t have much longer before final decisions are made. The herd must thin. When you’re polling lower than “undecided,” it would seem the writing is on the wall (or in my case, the writing is on the Hall)

[Note: This article was written by Earl Hall]

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