The seemingly endless list of Republican presidential candidates we began with has now dwindled down to the final five.
The most recent debate, hosted by CNN, might as well have only included Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, who monopolized the speaking time. Ben Carson (who resorted to asking to be attacked to receive some attention) only had eleven minutes of speaking time during the entire debate. Cruz received twice as much, while Trump tripled Carson’s speaking time.
John Kasich went unnoticed for most of the debate, too.
Both candidates have failed to gain much traction, and only Trump, Cruz and Rubio have a realistic chance of winning the Republican nomination this far into the game.
So when will Kasich and Carson finally drop out? For Kasich, it all depends on whether or not he can defeat Donald Trump in one particular state.
Via The Hill:Republican presidential hopeful John Kasich said on Saturday that he will drop out of the race if he doesn’t win his home state of Ohio.
“I will beat Donald Trump in Ohio, and that will be the beginning of a new day,” Kasich told a crowd in Nashville, according to The New York Times.“Some of the other candidates, if they can’t win their home state, they got to get out, OK?” he added. “If I don’t win my home state, I’ll get out. But you know what? I’m going to win Ohio.”
Ohio goes to the polls on March 15. Another Quinnipiac poll puts Trump ahead of Kasich in Ohio by 5 percentage points, just outside the poll’s margin of error, but the governor has insisted that he will have no problem winning the state.
Kasich will undoubtedly drop out soon, as Trump has nearly double the delegate count of all other candidates combined. The battle against Trump in Ohio is likely nothing more than a symbolic measure. David may conquer Goliath in that primary, but he’s running out of time to garner support nationally.
[Note: This post was authored by The Analytical Economist]