In full disclosure, I’m writing this missive about 45 minutes before the GOP prime-time presidential debate. I watched the first debate and, as I predicted yesterday, Carly Fiorina blew the doors off and she is indeed the breakout candidate. She’d previously only attained about a 40% name recognition. That will now change. She displayed a Margaret Thatcher-like directness, strength, composure, poise and competence. As I stated previously, her speech at the Reagan Library was spectacular. She’s certainly deserved attention.
But the purpose of this missive is not about the GOP presidential primary. Let’s ponder something that no one’s probably going to consider today — the Democrat party presidential primary. Needless to say, Martin O’Malley, Lincoln Chaffee and Jim Webb are not part of the equation. The recent polling evidences that Bernie Sanders is closing the gap on Hillary Clinton — statistical tie in New Hampshire. Mrs. Clinton is losing steam and the far left which owns the Democrat party — there is no separation between socialism and the party of the donkey — does not want her. Mrs. Clinton is not rallying the liberal progressive base —no great emotional draw. And everyone knows the liberal progressive left needs to run on emotion, a historic moment, not on who they are — advocates of wealth redistribution, nationalizing of production, expansion of the welfare state, social egalitarianism and the secular state. The left is all about identity politics, but Hillary Clinton is just not that identity — they tried the whole first woman president thing, but it ain’t clicking.
So what do the Democrats do? They find the emotional candidate who will enable what Obama stated in his speech to the African Union, “I could run for a third term and win.” Therefore, enter one Joe Biden, Obama’s vice president.
First, the Obamas despise the Clintons and they realize that if Hillary and Bill Clinton return to 1600 Pennsylvania, they’ll be relegated to being a footnote. Barack Obama’s ego is so grand, he needs to be viewed as the progressive socialist Ronald Reagan and desires his agenda to continue. Obama wants to be the one who coronates his successor, someone who will be indebted to him. Obama wants to be able to turn over his machine to someone he can trust. That is not Hillary Clinton.
Secondly, Joe Biden will run on what the left needs: emotion. We all offer our condolences for the loss of Vice President Biden’s son Beau. However, we as a nation must not fall into the sympathy mode and believe that Vice President Biden deserves to be president because his dying son said he should run. America deserves a leader, not just someone we feel sorry for, but that will be the mantra and rallying cry — that this is for Beau and Joe. The theme will be “It’s just right for Joe” and “Why not Joe.”Being president is not about a sense of entitlement or just because. And you already hear folks saying who cares about Vice President Biden’s gaffes; he’s a swell and likable guy. That, ladies and gents, is what Joe Biden will bring to the table, the charm, everyday fella likable quality that’s absent from one Hillary Clinton. Regardless of his funny ways, no one believes Joe Biden is untrustworthy. What we may end up getting is a Boris Yeltsin — ok, look it up — who was a fun guy. Bernie Sanders is indeed garnering support, but he’s not a member of the Democrat party; he’s a registered Independent, declared socialist, who caucuses with the Democrats. That will eventually be an issue. But the real issue for Bernie Sanders is that he is an old white guy with no identity politics gimmick. He is rallying the far left progressive base, but in the end, his image is horrible. And so what do the Democrats do if they reject Sanders for Biden — how do they win the liberal socialist base?
Lastly, there’s one other piece needed to solidify the liberal progressive dream ticket, and that is Elizabeth Warren as the Democrat party nominee for vice president. Warren is the darling of the far left and Massachusetts has no concern with replacing her with another far left liberal Senator. And Warren will bring the full bear of energy for the leftists as well as being that historic moment — first woman vice president.
So in this game of thrones and political chess, the GOP had best wake up and prepare for this to happen or else they will get bushwhacked. If the GOP runs the same ol’ white guy ticket, they’ll have once again lost by not realizing visuals are very important in the new arena of political American Idol. I do not consent to the politics of identity politics, but I am savvy enough to recognize the tactics of my adversary and make the proper adjustments. Will the GOP? There are many options for conservatives to present a challenging ticket that takes away the desired advantage Obama and the left are going to seek.
Hillary Clinton is damaged goods now. She cannot be protected and the rats are scurrying on the USS Liberal Progressive Titanic; they just hit a big iceberg. I just hope the GOP doesn’t find a way to steal defeat from the jaws of victory, again. America is in need of leaders; no more gimmicks. The Democrats will offer well-marketed gimmicks, as they did with Barack Obama. The GOP needs to drop the mantra of wanting to be a lighter version of the left drawing in pretty pastels. We need someone who will paint in bold colors. A Biden/Warren ticket will be formidable, until we come to understand they’re just a continuation of the aberration of which we have endured the past six and a half years.
I will take this prediction to the bank.